Man, this is becoming huge. The Phillies have been on the fringe of the playoffs the past couple of seasons and I think they moves they’ve made this year put them as favorites for the Wild Card. Then they sign Chase Utley to that huge seven year deal and now they make a three year, $25.75 million commitment to ace starter Bret Myers.
Myers was only 12-7 but he had a 3.91 ERA and he struck out 189 batters in 198 innings. Probably the only thing that stopped him from topping the 200 inning and 200 strikeout mark were those problems he had in Boston. Regardless, Myers is a rising star and for less then $9 million per, we’re getting a huge bargain for the next three season.
I like what PECOTA is projecting for Myers. His weighted mean average has him at a 1.29 WHIP and a 4.16 ERA but he has a 16% breakout rate and a 47% improve rate so I’d be hoping for his 75th percentile, which has him at a 1.23 WHIP and a 3.67 ERA along with 182 strikeouts in 200 innings.
Oddly, Myers most comparable player is Freddy Garcia, who now also plays for the Phillies. Regardless, this is just another sigh that the front office and ownership is committed to winning.
February 2nd, 2007 at 3:29 am
This is a smart baseball contract. No matter what you think of Brett Myers the person, Brett Myers the pitcher is worth this deal and then some.